In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2022 Israeli legislative election, held on 1 November, to the present day. In keeping with the election silence tradition, no polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Seat projections

This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the next Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated.

Polling graph

This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using local regressions (LOESS). Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

Polls

Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%), rather than the number of seats they would have received.

Legend

• Prewar government
  • Sum of the 37th government parties (before a unity government was formed): Likud, National Religious Party–Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Noam, Shas and United Torah Judaism. The coalition parties are highlighted in blue.
• Opposition bloc
  • Sum of the 36th government parties (often referred to in media as the "opposition bloc" to the 37th government): Yesh Atid, National Unity, Yisrael Beiteinu, Ra'am, New Hope, Labor, and Meretz. This excludes the non-government parties Balad and Hadash–Ta'al, which were not part of the 36th government.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset. If a bloc has a majority, the sum is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour.

2024

2022-23

Scenario polls

Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.

Labor-Meretz scenarios

Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan

Labor and Meretz run together

New party scenarios

Naftali Bennett forms a new party

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties

New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders

Yossi Cohen forms a new party

Yoaz Hendel forms a new party

New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders with a new right wing liberal party

Yoaz Hendel and Naftali Bennett form a new party

Yariv Levin forms a new party

New Anti Judicial Overhaul Right Wing Party

Alternative leadership scenarios

Gadi Eisenkot leads National Unity

Nir Barkat leads the Likud

Yossi Cohen leads the Likud

Yoav Galant leads the Likud

Other scenarios and scenario combinations

Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen & Labor and Meretz under Yair Golan (Includes Labor running on its own)

Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen

New Hope splits from National Unity, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen and Yoaz Hendel form three separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list

Yoav Galant forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

New Hope splits from National Unity

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yossi Cohen becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Nir Barkat becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yoav Galant becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

Prime minister

Netanyahu vs. Gantz

Netanyahu vs. Lapid

Netanyahu vs. Bennett

Netanyahu vs. Eisenkot

Gantz vs. Levin

Lapid vs. Levin

Netanyahu vs. Gantz vs. Lapid

Open question

The following polls asked prime ministerial preferences as an open question without providing a list of options.

Voting intention relative to vote in previous election

The following polls asked potential voters about their voting intentions in the next election relative to their vote in the previous election:

Approval ratings

Government party figures

· Prime Minister
· Leader of the Likud party

· Minister of Defense
· Member of the Likud party

· Minister of National Security
· Leader of the Otzma Yehudit party

· Minister of Education
· Minister of Regional Cooperation
· Member of the Likud party

· Minister of Finance
· A Minister in the Ministry of Defense
· Leader of the Religious Zionist Party

· Minister of Foreign Affairs
· Member of the Likud party

· Minister of National Infrastructure, Energy, and Water
· Member of the Likud party

· Deputy Prime Minister
· Minister of Justice
· Member of the Likud party

· Minister of Housing & Construction
· Leader of the Agudat Yisrael party

· Minister of Transport, National Infrastructure and Road Safety
· Member of the Likud party

· Minister of Information
· Member of the Likud party

· Minister of Economy
· Member of the Likud party

· Chair of the Knesset Constitution, Law and Justice Committee
· Member of the Religious Zionist Party

Opposition party figures

Other questions

Satisfaction with result of 2022 election

See also

• Israel–Hamas war
• Israeli war cabinet
• 2023 Israeli judicial reform

Notes

References