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2024 United States presidential election in Florida


2024 United States presidential election in Florida


The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

Despite being a heavily populated and fast-growing state once considered a presidential battleground and bellwether, Florida has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now seen as a slightly to moderately red state. In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019) carried the state again by 3.36 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms. Thus, Florida is widely expected to at least lean towards Republicans in 2024.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for re-election to a second term.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Democratic primary

On November 30, 2023, Politico reported that the Florida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which means that the primary will be cancelled under Florida law.

This cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson campaigns. Williamson and fellow Democratic candidate Cenk Uygur held a press conference over Zoom on December 1 criticizing the move. On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips, Williamson, and Uygur's name to the ballot. The voter lost in district court but is expected to appeal.

Winner (Assumptive)

  • President Joe Biden

Endorsements

Hypothetical polling

General election

Predictions

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

See also

  • United States presidential elections in Florida
  • 2024 United States presidential election
  • 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
  • 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
  • 2024 United States elections

Notes

Partisan clients

References

Collection James Bond 007

Text submitted to CC-BY-SA license. Source: 2024 United States presidential election in Florida by Wikipedia (Historical)


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