44th Ontario general election

The 44th Ontario general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on June 4, 2026. As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election, unless the Legislative Assembly of Ontario is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario due to advice from the Premier of Ontario, a motion of no confidence or the failure of the Assembly to grant supply. Such a dissolution is unlikely as the current government has a majority.

Date

Under the Ontario Elections Act, general elections shall be held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election. As the previous election was held on June 2, 2022, the election would be June 4, 2026. However, there has been speculation that Premier Ford will call a snap election to take advantage of a lead in the polls and fundraising, as well as a desire to hold the election before the next federal election, which the Conservative party is currently projected to win. Speculation was further fueled by Ford refusing to commit to the June 2026 date when asked by reporters at multiple press conferences in May 2024.

Standings

Timeline

2022

• June 2: The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario under Doug Ford won a second majority government in the 43rd Ontario general election. New Democratic Party leader Andrea Horwath and Liberal leader Steven Del Duca both announce their resignation on election night.
• June 28: Toronto—Danforth MPP Peter Tabuns was named interim leader of the NDP, becoming Leader of the Official Opposition.
• August 3: Ottawa South MPP John Fraser was named interim leader of the Liberals.

2023

• February 4: Marit Stiles was declared leader of the NDP, and became Leader of the Official Opposition.
• December 2: Bonnie Crombie was elected leader of the Liberals.

2024

Ridings

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015 increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016, recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124. This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.

With the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, Ontario has been allotted 1 additional seat in the House of Commons, which could potentially increase the number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario.

Opinion polls

References

Opinion poll sources

External links

• Elections Ontario